ERC Consolidator Grant · 2018
Improving collective decisions by eliminating overconfidence: mental, neural and social processes
“What would I remove if I had a magic wand? Overconfidence” Daniel Kahneman’s famous fairy-tale wish (The Guardian 18 Jul 15) conveyed a deeply seated pessimism in cognitive scientists that overconfidence is hardwired into human cognition. This bias is pervasive, costly and the root cause of many human failures. Previous failed attempts at reducing overconfidence targeted individual decisions. I propose to reduce this bias at social level of decision making by determining the underlying mental, neural and social processes involved in overconfidence and testing these models by causal interventions. I focus on 3 common forms of social decisions. 1.In honest communication of uncertainty (e.g.…
From the public funding record at EU CORDIS. Describes the funded project, not the reviews below.