Cagé Lab

Sciences Po

Ile-de-France (FR1) · France

ERC-funded
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Research focus

ERC Consolidator Grant · 2025

Elections, Ecological Inference and Social Capital in Historical Perspective

The goal of ECOSOCIAL is to examine empirically the historical evolution of political cleavages and socioeconomic inequalities, with a multidisciplinary perspective and the use of granular local level data and cutting-edge statistical methods. Who turns out to vote? Who do the poor and the rich vote for, and how has this changed in the long run? Why and when did the left-right voting pattern break down in Western democracies? What can the past teach us about democratic backsliding? While there is plenty of evidence on the rise of Europe’s far right and the emergence of multi-elite party systems, we lack a quantitative analysis of the long-term changes in the structure of political…

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