ERC Advanced Grant · 2024
Forecasting and understanding the seIsmic cycle through b-value
Seismology is a branch of science with many open questions, and predicting earthquakes is still a utopia. We know earthquakes interact with each other by changing the state of stress in their surroundings. Strong earthquakes are, for example, followed by countless smaller events, a posteriori called aftershocks, whose number decays with time. We have shown that aftershock sequences are systematically associated with changes in the average earthquake size distribution, an increase in the so-called b-value, unless a second large mainshock is still coming, in which case the b-value decreases. This exciting finding allows the use of the b-value for real-time discrimination between foreshocks…
From the public funding record at EU CORDIS. Describes the funded project, not the reviews below.