Winkler Lab

Max Planck Society

Bayern (DE2) · Germany

ERC-funded
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ERC Starting Grant · 2025

How Land Carbon Dynamics Shape the Rise and Fall of Atmospheric CO2

PostPeak tackles the pressing questions surrounding Earth's transition into a post-peak CO2 era. The carbon cycle determines how much of the anthropogenic carbon stays in the atmosphere, and warms the planet. It will also shape the trajectory of atmospheric CO2 once emissions level off, with lingering legacy and hysteresis effects. I hypothesize the land carbon cycle is the key modulator in this transition, and accurately predicting its dynamics is essential for understanding how the entire climate system will respond to declining CO2 emissions. Despite decades of research, the myriad factors underlying land carbon dynamics remain poorly understood, and uncertainty prevails. To address this…

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