Richards Lab

Imperial College

- · United Kingdom

ERC-funded
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ERC Starting Grant · 2025

Dynamic Earth Impacts on Past, Present, and Future Sea Levels

Nearly 700 million people live along flood-susceptible coastlines and actionable sea-level forecasts are urgently needed to protect these populations and their €4 trillion of critical infrastructure from rising sea levels. Unfortunately, current sea-level projections are of limited use due to deep uncertainties in the ice-sheet model calculations used to produce them. For example, the last Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report found end-of-century sea level could reach anywhere from 0.3 to 2 m above present. Most of this uncertainty relates to ice-sheet instabilities that, once triggered, could lead to rapid sea-level rise. It can be substantially reduced by calibrating model…

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